Biosciences Seminar Series - Spring 2016
05 May 2016 - 1pm - Zoology Museum
Predicting wildlife dynamics in a changing environment
|Butchert etal 2010 Science|
But which metrics provide the most informative indicators under which circumstances? And how can the growing list of indicators best serve conservation policy decisions? I review the responses of animal populations to a range of human mediated drivers of change, showing where biological science has been effective at tracking recent changes in nature, and where gaps remain. I then examine prospects for predicting future changes, and why they matter to the biosphere and humans.
I argue that evidence-based modelling can allow the causal relationships between policy actions, biodiversity change and indicators of change to be better understood. Developed correctly, indicators can start to tell us how we can best conserve biodiversity, not simply that we are failing to do so.
Hope to see many of you - everyone most welcome to attend!